Will the Russians succeed in capturing Bagmuth: ISW forecast — tsn.ua

Over the past month, the armed forces have been able to push back the Russian army in some areas.

The advance of the Russians in the Soledar area did not mean an inevitable encirclement Bahmuth. Russian troops are still far away.

about this It is said In a report released by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

“In order to effectively cut Ukrainian land communication in Pakmut, they need to establish control over the Chiversk-Pakhmut highway (currently 7 km west of the farthest point of confirmed Russian attack in the Solidar area) and reach the Slavyansk-Pakhmut highway (13 km from the farthest point of confirmed Russian attack in the Solidar area). .) at least,” experts note.

The ISW added that since recent rates of progress in the area have been at a few hundred meters per day, Russian forces cannot mount a mechanized offensive here and encircle Pakmut anytime soon.

Let us recall that on January 4, the head of the Donetsk OVA, Pavlo Kyrilenko, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation managed to drive the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation beyond the borders of Bakmut. According to him, the disadvantaged position of the occupiers contributes to the fact that they suffer “incalculable” losses.

On the same day, the Wall Street Journal reported that Russian troops had called off their offensive on the town of Bakhmut in the Donetsk region. The command of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation decided to transfer part of the firepower to the surrounding areas, in particular to Solader.

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Oleksandr Musienko, director of the Center for Military and Legal Studies, said Russia was making progress in the region. Bahmuth Or Soledar because of the “support” of the people: the invaders are simply thrown into battle without the support of equipment and artillery and do not pay attention to heavy losses.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on January 7 that the invaders. According to Bahmuth were and other Ukrainian positions, despite the “ceasefire” declared by Russia.

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