Russian forces at Bagmut may be approaching a climax similar to that at Kherson

As they did at Kherson in August, Russian forces at Bagmut may be nearing a climax.

This is stated in the report American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

The combat losses of the occupiers will probably force the Russian Federation to use amphibious assault groups in the Bagmud area.

On December 27, the spokesman of the Eastern Group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonel Serhii Serevaty, reported that Russian troops in the Bagmud region were no longer operating as company-battalion tactical groups, but in small groups. Ten to fifteen soldiers (teams).

“Russian troops degraded from company and battalion tactical groups to individual squad-level groups, similar to Russian units in the Kherson region…by August 2022,” the report said.

ISW assessed at the time that this marked the peak of the Russian offensive in the region, as Russian ground forces were too depleted to command sufficient numbers of units to achieve significant victories.

The pace of Russian military advances in the Baghmut area has recently slowed down due to shortages of men and ammunition, which will prevent it from maintaining a high pace of offensive operations in the area in the future.

“The Russian military’s use of squads may be the result of a prolonged war and indicates the degradation of large doctrinal systems above the regimental level,” the researchers added.

If all Russian forces continue to attack, the pace of the Russian offensive in the Pakmut area is likely to slow down. A condition for continuing the offensive was the arrival of new reinforcements and ammunition.

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Let’s remind Head of Luhansk OVA, Serhiy Gaidai He said that Russian troops are continuing to try to capture Pakmut. But they do nothing in return. The enemy loses thousands of his soldiers in battles.

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