How the downing of the Su-30/34 aircraft affected the pace of operations of the Russian Federation in the Kherson region – ISW's explanation –

The invaders lost five fighters in a few days.

armed forces Five Russian fighters were shot down Within three days. Apart from the multipurpose Su-30, four Su-34 bombers were also hit. This is why Russian troops have slowed down their operations on the left bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region.

about this write down Researchers at the ISW Institute for the Study of War.

Defense forces shot down a Russian Su-34 in the direction of Mariupol and a Russian Su-30SM over the Black Sea, and shot down three additional Su-34s in the south.

Nataliya Gumenyuk, spokeswoman for OC “South”, said that Russian forces on the eastern bank of the Kherson region conduct half as many ground attacks every day compared to an average of 30 attacks per day.

He noted that “the destruction of several Russian aircraft weakened the ability of Russian forces to launch guided-missile strikes, and that Russian forces deployed large-scale artillery and several rocket-propelled grenade launchers (MSRS) on the left bank of the Kherson region to compensate for the lack of air support.” Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat “After Ukrainian defenders shot down three Russian Su-34s in southern Ukraine, Russian troops stopped active fighting in the Kherson direction,” the analysts write.

As noted in ISW, on December 25, a Russian media blogger said that Russian air traffic in the Kherson region had been disrupted for the past three days due to the destruction of Russian Su-34s.

Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported that the Russian military has not been able to restore the number of Su-34/34M aircraft to pre-invasion levels. Now they have to supplement the combat operations of Su-34/34M aircraft along with older Su-24 aircraft. Mashovets believes that Russian troops rarely deploy Su-34/34M aircraft at bases in occupied Crimea because they are trying to protect them from strikes by the armed forces.

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“However, Russian forces currently prefer long-range artillery closer to the shores of the Dnieper than risking aircraft landings. Positioning Russian long-range artillery closer to the front line would allow Ukrainian forces to engage Russian forces more easily. Long-range artillery systems and rear areas along the Dnieper coast and the west bank of Kherson region would be more freely deployed. are safe and effective,” noted ISW researchers.

It is worth recalling that a military expert explained that Did the loss of several Su-30 and Su-34 aircraft matter to the invaders?

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